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As I’ve written elsewhere,
the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) has to rank as one of the
most misguided and destructive federal programs. In addition to
subsidizing the destruction of the environment, it also encourages
families to live in harm’s way. The solution should be to end it and
let the private market appropriately price the risk. If Congress
chooses not to end the NFIP, it should at least reduce the subsidies
behind the program. Surprisingly enough, S. 1940, currently on the
Senate floor, does just that.
Over the next 9 years, S. 1940 would increase revenues under the NFIP
by $4.7 billion, as estimated by CBO. This is $4.7 billion that
wouldn’t have to be paid by the taxpayer but instead would be paid by
those who benefit from flood insurance. My estimate is that this
represents about half of the program’s current subsidies. Such a major
reduction in subsidies would also allow the private sector to have some
chance at actually competing.
There have been some complaints raised that S. 1940 expands the
program and “gasp” actually includes an “individual mandate” like
ObamaCare. Such misunderstands the nature of the NFIP. The core nature
of NFIP is that if a community wants to be eligible for federal
disaster assistance, then it must participate in the NFIP and borrowers,
in said community, with a federal mortgage, who live in the 100 year
floodplain, must buy flood insurance. S. 1940 extends that requirement,
over a number of years, to homes with federal mortgages that exist
behind dams, levees and other man-made structures. As Hurricane Katrina
taught us, having a levee is no absolute protection for either the
homeowner or the taxpayer. While dams and levees can reduce the
frequency of flood loss, they do so at the cost of increasing the
severity when it does happen.
The important point is that the current program and “residual risk”
provisions of S.1940 do not require anyone to do anything. Every
community in America is free to leave the program. Also homes within
communities that stay can avoid the purchase requirement by not getting a
federal mortgage (which the taxpayer stands behind). If this
encourages an expansion of a mortgage market not backed by the taxpayer,
then all the better. S.1940 also exempts small dollar premiums from
the residual risk requirement. The residual risk provisions would also
incorporate into the premium pricing any real reduction in flood risk
that results from a dam or levee.
Again the ultimate solution is to eliminate the NFIP, so that free
individuals can choose which risk they take and which they pay others to
bear. Until then, reducing federal subsidies and forcing federal
programs to more actually price risk will not only help protect the
taxpayer, but also improve the functioning of our mortgage market.
S.1940, along with its residual risk requirements, is a step in that
direction (and considerably better than the House version, which does actually increase the taxpayers’ exposure).
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